Prediction Markets

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 180

Above 185

$169,556 vol

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 320

Above 330

$215,735 vol

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/16 - 11/22)

Above 310

Above 320

$26,417 vol

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (11/16 - 11/22)

Above 185

Above 190

$20,953 vol

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/9 - 11/15)

Above 200

Above 205

$144,203 vol

When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?

Before Nov 1, 2027

Before Oct 1, 2027

$8,960,541 vol

Will Donald Trump visit Iran?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Jan 1, 2027

$500,022 vol

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (11/16 - 11/22)

Above 195

Above 200

$7,072 vol

What countries will Trump visit in 2026?

Qatar

India

$605,654 vol

Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Before Jan 1, 2030

Before Jan 1, 2029

$315,369 vol

Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?

Yes

No

$3,578,884 vol

Magdalena Andersson out as Social Democrats leader?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

$5,136 vol

Which companies will Commerce add to the Entity List?

Speedmatrix

CXMT

$7,211 vol

Will Israel enact term limits for its prime minister?

Yes

No

$3,341 vol

When will the U.S. and Iran hold a diplomatic meeting?

Before Mar 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

$64,259 vol

Will the US acquire any new territory?

Before Jan 21, 2029

Before Jan 2028

$405,215 vol

Where will Trump and Putin next meet?

China

Russia

$51,044 vol

Who will be Israeli foreign minister after the election?

Yair Lapid

Benjamin Netanyahu

$108,819 vol

Will the government of the Netherlands collapse?

Yes

No

$314 vol

Will France declare a state of emergency?

Yes

No

$39,321 vol

When will Putin and Zelenskyy meet?

Before Jan 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2029

$8,721 vol

When will Venezuela call its next presidential election?

Before Apr 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

$16,288 vol

Will Trump visit China?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Dec 1, 2026

$16,371 vol

Which countries will normalize relations with Israel before 2027?

Belize

Mauritania

$388,182 vol

Will the US take control of any part of Greenland?

Before January 21, 2029

Before 2027

$3,556,661 vol

When will Trump, Xi and Putin meet together?

Before Jan 1, 2027

Before Jul 1, 2027

$69,954 vol

Will the UK propose extending the BBC licence fee to online video in 2026?

Yes

No

$5,208 vol

Will South Korean President Lee Jae-myung serve their full term?

Yes

No

$25,129 vol

Will Kash Patel visit Russia?

Yes

No

$4,349 vol

Claudia Sheinbaum announces departure as President of Mexico?

Before Jul 1, 2028

Before Jan 1, 2030

$109 vol

Which countries will join the EU by 2030?

Ukraine

Albania

$100 vol

Will Netanyahu and Eisenkot form a unity government?

Before Jul 1, 2027

Before Feb 1, 2027

$238 vol

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